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Backtest five dividend growers with Gemini CLI

Reproduce the historical five-dividend-growers test in Gemini CLI, then inspect its strategy and SPY curves.

As of 2026-10-10

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TL;DR

Use Gemini CLI to validate the five dividend grower configuration, save an inactive draft and inspect a completed NexusTrade backtest. From January 2025 through October 7, 2026 it returned 44.80% versus SPY's 33.99%; from January 2014 it returned 340.90% versus 419.23%. Strategy stock trades cost 0.1%, while the displayed SPY benchmark pays no candidate commissions. Keep the accepted run ID when reconnecting and compare unchanged rules before choosing a variant.

Explore the completed 2025 through 2026 test

Portfolio value (USD)

Five dividend growers and SPY: 2025-01-02 to 2026-10-07$14.7K$8.1KLargest decline in plotted observations: 22.41%, 2025-02-13 to 2025-04-082025-01-022026-10-07
Five dividend growers 2026-10-07
$14,479.88
SPY buy and hold 2026-10-07
$13,399.03

Five dividend growers: 22.41% largest decline in plotted observations. 2025-02-13 ($10,415.39) to 2025-04-08 ($8,081.82).

Five dividend growersSPY buy and holdHistorical simulation
Strategy return
44.80%
SPY return
33.99%
Maximum drawdown
24.33%
Strategy fees
$24.15

Recorded historical simulation: Jan 02, 2025 to Oct 07, 2026. Initial capital was $10,000.

Recorded in NexusTrade on October 8, 2026. Strategy assumptions: fractional shares, reinvested dividends and a 0.1% stock transaction fee. The stored SPY benchmark pays no candidate commissions.

Try this example in Gemini CLI

Inspect the request

Connect Gemini CLI, then copy the request below. Review the returned result before continuing.

The rules behind this result

The dividend strategy's universe, filter, ranking, equal weights and rebalance trigger in NexusTrade
NexusTrade's strategy display renders the exact saved dividend rules used by this recorded simulation.
Allocation trigger
Review allocations when portfolio value equals its initial value OR at least 30 days have passed since a filled buy. This is not an exact monthly schedule.
Equal weights
Each selected company has the same weight: five qualifying companies would target 20% each before execution effects.
Execution assumptions
Fractional shares and reinvested dividends; the original stock fee was 0.1% per transaction.

From the S&P 500 universe, keep companies meeting the ten-year annual dividend-increase filter, select the five largest by market value and weight them equally. The target is 100% invested.

Create and read back the exact strategy

Use the reviewed configuration at https://nexustrade-prod.nyc3.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/Explore/Data/existing-dividend-five-configuration-20261010-2468740bdaf783a8.json. Ask your client to pass that complete object to build_portfolio, inspect valid and issues, then show the canonical portfolio. After reviewing it, save the same JSON with create_portfolio and read the returned chat draft with get_portfolio. Keep the draft ID in your experiment record.

Check the SP500 universe, dividend filter, market-cap ranking, five selected names, equal weights, full deployment, 30-day trigger, fractional shares and reinvestment against the reviewed configuration. Keep the new draft undeployed while testing.

Prompt
Reproduce the five-dividend-growers experiment in Gemini CLI. Read the exact configuration at https://nexustrade-prod.nyc3.cdn.digitaloceanspaces.com/Explore/Data/existing-dividend-five-configuration-20261010-2468740bdaf783a8.json. Pass the complete configuration to build_portfolio. Show valid, issues and canonical rules. Preserve the universe, filter, ranking, weighting, rebalance trigger, fractional shares and dividend policy. After I approve the rules, save the same JSON with create_portfolio, then read the returned portfolio_id with get_portfolio. Record that chat draft ID. Stop before backtesting or deployment.

Submit the matching historical test

Continue only when the connected client has the required authoring and backtest tools. Review the dates, capital, fee and dividend assumptions, and research-token cost before approving one test.

Replace the placeholder with the returned chat draft ID. Review these inputs, then approve one backtest_portfolio call. They match the displayed 2025 run. Save the accepted backtest ID before leaving the conversation.

generate_events is false for the curve comparison. Enable it when you want to inspect individual signals and orders; detailed event capture uses more credits. Keep all other settings fixed when making that inspection run.

Show the table · 7 rows, 2 columns
InputExplicit choice
portfolio_idExact returned chat draft ID
start_date / end_date2025-01-02 / 2026-10-07
intervalDay
initial_value10000
baseline_symbolSPY
fee_config / dividend_policyStock: 0.1 percent; reinvest
generate_eventsfalse for the curve; true for detailed signal and order inspection
JSON
{
  "portfolio_id": "REPLACE_WITH_RETURNED_CHAT_ID",
  "start_date": "2025-01-02",
  "end_date": "2026-10-07",
  "interval": "Day",
  "initial_value": 10000,
  "baseline_symbol": "SPY",
  "generate_events": false,
  "dividend_policy": "reinvest",
  "fee_config": {
    "Stock": {
      "amount": 0.1,
      "type": "percent"
    }
  }
}

Tool reference

  1. Validate a new candidate

    NexusTrade tool

    build_portfolio

    Review

    Canonical configuration and component issues; nothing is saved

  2. Save the validated draft

    NexusTrade tool

    create_portfolio

    Review

    Use the reviewed configuration and retain the returned chat portfolio ID

  3. Read the saved book

    NexusTrade tool

    get_portfolio

    Review

    Exact strategies, action sizing, and portfolio identity

  4. Submit the historical test

    NexusTrade tool

    backtest_portfolio

    Review

    Explicit dates, interval, capital and benchmark

  5. Poll the same operation

    NexusTrade tool

    query_backtest_status

    Review

    Terminal state and warnings; do not resubmit while running

  6. Inspect the curve

    NexusTrade tool

    query_backtest_history

    Review

    Historical values for the returned backtest_id

  7. Compare candidates

    NexusTrade tool

    compare_backtests

    Review

    Identical period and assumptions, with activity and risk

Inspect the tool operations for this experiment

Scroll sideways to compare all columns. Select a heading to sort.

Validate a new candidatebuild_portfolioCanonical configuration and component issues; nothing is saved
Save the validated draftcreate_portfolioUse the reviewed configuration and retain the returned chat portfolio ID
Read the saved bookget_portfolioExact strategies, action sizing, and portfolio identity
Submit the historical testbacktest_portfolioExplicit dates, interval, capital and benchmark
Poll the same operationquery_backtest_statusTerminal state and warnings; do not resubmit while running
Inspect the curvequery_backtest_historyHistorical values for the returned backtest_id
Compare candidatescompare_backtestsIdentical period and assumptions, with activity and risk

Inspect the discovered inputs before submitting a call. For a new candidate, validate and save it first; for a saved candidate, start with get_portfolio. Record the portfolio and backtest identifiers returned by the account tools.

Inspect the completed curve and explain a rebalance

Poll query_backtest_status with the accepted backtest_id. PENDING or RUNNING means continue with that same ID. Resolve a reported ERROR before changing the experiment. Once complete, read query_backtest_history and follow pagination for the full period. Save the completed statistics and history with the rules and inputs.

Compare value with comparisonValue, then follow cash and positionValue around a rebalance or drawdown. With detailed events enabled, ask the client to read query_backtest_events and explain which condition fired, which stocks qualified, how weights changed and which orders filled. Keep the explanation tied to returned records.

  1. Detailed signal traces

    The original example used generate_events:false. A new generate_events:true test costs 5× research tokens; review that request before submitting it and read query_backtest_events while its three-day traces are retained.

Prompt
Use the accepted backtest_id to poll query_backtest_status until complete. Then read query_backtest_history with that same ID, page 1 and page_size 500; follow all pages. Show the strategy and SPY curves, return, maximum drawdown and fees for 2025-01-02 through 2026-10-07. Explain one rebalance or drawdown using cash, holdings and recorded order events when available. Preserve the returned IDs and source fields in the experiment record. Keep polling the existing test rather than submitting another.

Compare the other recorded periods

Scale: 0 to 340.9 % · zero baseline

Strategy return

  • 2025-01-0244.80%
  • 2022-01-03134.94%
  • 2014-01-02340.90%

Scale: 0 to 419.23 % · zero baseline

SPY baseline

  • 2025-01-0233.99%
  • 2022-01-0373.13%
  • 2014-01-02419.23%

Scale: 0 to 24.33 % · zero baseline

Native max drawdown

  • 2025-01-0224.33%
  • 2022-01-0324.16%
  • 2014-01-0224.16%

Scale: 0 to 422 · zero baseline

Closed trades

  • 2025-01-0249
  • 2022-01-03153
  • 2014-01-02422

Scale: 0 to 331.98 USD · zero baseline

Strategy fees

  • 2025-01-02$24.15
  • 2022-01-03$103.47
  • 2014-01-02$331.98
Show the table · 3 rows, 6 columns

Scroll sideways to compare all columns. Select a heading to sort.

2025-01-0244.80%33.99%24.33%49$24.15
2022-01-03134.94%73.13%24.16%153$103.47
2014-01-02340.90%419.23%24.16%422$331.98

The same rules also have completed runs starting in 2022 and 2014. Compare the full period table before selecting a variant; the long 2014 run returned less than SPY.

Inspect the longer recorded period

Portfolio value (USD)

Five dividend growers and SPY: 2014-01-02 to 2026-10-07$51.9K$8.2KLargest decline in plotted observations: 22.80%, 2014-11-21 to 2015-08-252014-01-022026-10-07
Five dividend growers 2026-10-07
$44,089.69
SPY buy and hold 2026-10-07
$51,922.83

Five dividend growers: 22.80% largest decline in plotted observations. 2014-11-21 ($10,674.15) to 2015-08-25 ($8,240.24).

Five dividend growersSPY buy and holdHistorical simulation
Inspect the 2014 through 2026 curve
Strategy return
340.90%
SPY return
419.23%
Maximum drawdown
24.16%
Strategy fees
$331.98

Recorded historical simulation: Jan 02, 2014 to Oct 07, 2026. Initial capital was $10,000.

These examined periods are development evidence. Historical S&P 500 membership at each date is not established by this receipt; the 2014 run is a retrospective simulation rather than proof of an investable selection.

Register remote MCP and authenticate in Gemini CLI

Run the shell commands below. --scope user makes the connection available across your CLI projects; use --scope project instead for this project only. This guide is for Gemini CLI, not the Gemini consumer chat app.

Start gemini in the folder where you will save the research files. Inside that session enter /mcp auth nexustrade, finish NexusTrade browser sign-in, then /mcp list. Use /mcp schema to inspect discovered input schemas. These slash commands belong in Gemini CLI, not your shell.

Shell
gemini mcp add --transport http --scope user nexustrade https://nexustrade.io/api/mcp
gemini mcp list
gemini

Confirm access with an owned-resource read

Ask the client to discover tools and call fetch_portfolios, then pass one returned portfolioId as portfolio_id to get_portfolio. Inspect portfolioId, type, name, isActive and strategies; compare them with the same saved book in NexusTrade. Do not copy IDs from a demonstration. An empty list can be valid for a new account.

A tool-not-found error means revisit discovery. An authorization error means check the selected NexusTrade environment/account and OAuth connection. Do not ask the model to invent a replacement identifier.

Prompt
Use only NexusTrade read tools. Call fetch_portfolios, then pass one returned portfolioId as the portfolio_id input to get_portfolio. Show portfolioId, type, name, isActive and complete strategies. Do not create, edit, backtest, deploy or place orders.

Create one variant, then test unseen dates

Save a separate variant that changes only SelectTop.limit from five to ten. Keep the universe, dividend filter, weights, capital, fees, interval and development dates fixed. Record both configurations and their completed backtest IDs before comparing return, drawdown, holdings and turnover.

After choosing a candidate, freeze its configuration and decision criteria. The three displayed historical periods have already been inspected. Select another chronological period you have not used in the example, corpus search or variant selection, then evaluate the frozen candidate once. Keep further revisions in a new research cycle. An optional final lockbox follows the same rule.

Reconnect Gemini CLI and continue the recorded test

If the server is missing, check whether you selected user or project scope. Use /mcp reload to rediscover tools after configuration changes. For expired tokens, repeat /mcp auth nexustrade. Shell gemini mcp list can show connection errors. After an interrupted terminal session, reopen the saved run ledger or /resume and continue with the recorded job or deployment ID.

For a disconnected session, reopen the saved backtest ID and query its status. If an accepted ID is missing, inspect the previous response before another submission; arbitrary new requests are not idempotent retries.

Keep the recorded experiment

Save the exact configuration, draft ID, accepted backtest ID, inputs and completed result together. Reopen that record after a connection interruption and continue polling the accepted run. Before paper trading, review a separate paper draft and observe its actual deployed history.

Exact strategy configuration

Inspect the complete strategy JSON
JSON
{
  "initialValue": 10000,
  "supportsFractionalShares": true,
  "dividendPolicy": "reinvest",
  "strategies": [
    {
      "active": true,
      "condition": {
        "lhs": null,
        "rhs": null,
        "comparison": null,
        "type": "Or",
        "conditions": [
          {
            "lhs": {
              "compound": false,
              "targetAssets": [],
              "type": "PortfolioValue"
            },
            "rhs": {
              "compound": false,
              "targetAssets": [],
              "type": "InitialValue"
            },
            "comparison": "equal",
            "type": "Base"
          },
          {
            "lhs": {
              "compound": false,
              "targetAssets": [],
              "side": "Buy",
              "type": "DaysSinceOrder",
              "orderStatus": "Filled"
            },
            "rhs": {
              "compound": false,
              "targetAssets": [],
              "value": 30,
              "type": "Value"
            },
            "comparison": "greaterThanOrEqual",
            "type": "Base"
          }
        ]
      },
      "action": {
        "type": "DynamicRebalance",
        "universe": {
          "source": "SP500"
        },
        "pipeline": [
          {
            "type": "Filter",
            "condition": {
              "lhs": {
                "compound": true,
                "targetAssets": [],
                "type": "ConsecutiveIncrease",
                "maxLength": 1,
                "period": "Year",
                "lookback": 10,
                "indicators": [
                  {
                    "compound": false,
                    "targetAsset": {
                      "type": "",
                      "symbol": ""
                    },
                    "targetAssets": [],
                    "type": "LastDividend"
                  }
                ]
              },
              "rhs": {
                "compound": false,
                "targetAssets": [],
                "value": 10,
                "type": "Value"
              },
              "comparison": "greaterThanOrEqual",
              "type": "Base"
            }
          },
          {
            "type": "SelectTop",
            "metric": {
              "compound": false,
              "targetAsset": {
                "type": "",
                "symbol": ""
              },
              "targetAssets": [],
              "type": "Fundamental",
              "metric": "marketCap"
            },
            "limit": 5,
            "direction": "Highest"
          }
        ],
        "weightIndicator": {
          "compound": false,
          "targetAssets": [],
          "value": 1,
          "type": "Value"
        },
        "deploymentPercent": {
          "compound": false,
          "targetAssets": [],
          "value": 100,
          "type": "Value"
        }
      },
      "orderExecution": {
        "type": "Market"
      },
      "automaticOrderApproval": false
    }
  ],
  "name": "Five largest dividend growers",
  "cash": 10000,
  "buyingPower": 10000,
  "supportsCrypto": false,
  "alertsEnabled": false
}

Chart range diagnostics

Inspect plotted ranges and their baseline
  1. Five dividend growers plotted range

    -18.18% to 48.99% from its first stored close.

  2. SPY buy and hold plotted range

    -15.08% to 35.08% from its first stored close.

  3. Five dividend growers plotted range

    -16.96% to 351.51% from its first stored close.

  4. SPY buy and hold plotted range

    -4.78% to 422.24% from its first stored close.

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