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Trading case studies: published pages

Browse the published Trading case studies collection with direct links and numbered pages.

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Trading strategy case studies: rules, returns and drawdowns | NexusTrade

Inspect real strategy experiments, the published ideas behind them, actual trade diagnostics, matched controls and the changes that helped or failed.

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Cesar Alvarez moving-average exits: SPY and QQQ tests | NexusTrade

A trade-led review of three-close moving-average confirmation. A faster exit improved QQQ's broad return and drawdown, but recent returns lagged holding QQQ.

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Charlie Morris: Bitcoin and gold sizing | NexusTrade

A BOLD-inspired Bitcoin/gold backtest returned 150.09% after fees versus 127.40% for monthly 50/50, with less drawdown. Gold alone won the recent comparison.

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Cheap stocks versus value: sixty portfolio ideas compared | NexusTrade

Sixty value-stock configurations, two refinement rounds and four retrospective folds show how profitability, cash flow, valuation and weighting changed results.

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Corey Hoffstein rebalance timing: a failed SPY adaptation | NexusTrade

A monthly SPY trend component reduced drawdown but missed much of the market's return. Actual exits and reentries explain the timing problem and its limits.

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Dividend growth: from a broad basket to five stocks | NexusTrade

An audited ten-year dividend-raise experiment increased returns by concentrating into five stocks, with deeper recent drawdown and weaker long-history growth than SPY.

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Can a dividend portfolio beat the market? | NexusTrade

The published five-stock dividend portfolio beat matched SPY recently. New concentrated rules improved earlier growth but lost that recent comparison.

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ETH trading bot: explore real backtests and build the rules | NexusTrade

Follow a real ETH trading bot through three backtests. See its buys, exits and missed rebound, then open the exact rules in Aurora.

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Gary Antonacci GEM: earlier defense, lower drawdown | NexusTrade

An audited GEM ETF study and one earlier-defense adaptation: 107.90% broad return, 22.60% drawdown, a weaker 2022 start and every matched control.

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Jan Willem Keuning and Wouter Keller: HAA's trade-off | NexusTrade

HAA Simple-SPY returned 630.34% after modeled fees with 20.44% drawdown, versus SPY's 748.29% and 47.18%. See the authored rules, missed rallies and defensive trade-off.

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JL Collins 75/25 preservation allocation: an ETF case study | NexusTrade

A source-specific VTI/BND preservation study: 220.73% net growth and a 26.42% observed drop, with matched equity controls and the weaker 2022 comparison.

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Kitces and Pfau rising-equity retirement allocation | NexusTrade

A selected 2022 ETF retirement simulation funded $2,190.81 spending with 7.46% market drawdown versus 22.10% for 60/40. Inspect all twelve books and the allocation-only portfolio boundary.

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Leveraged ETF trading bot: create, backtest and deploy TQQQ rules | NexusTrade

Build a TQQQ bot from a QQQ trend signal and test the frozen rules across 15 years. Inspect the 3,182.36% strategy return against TQQQ's 27,375.08%, the 51.68% versus 81.97% drawdowns and the losing reserved test.

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Nick Radge: strongest-ten monthly momentum | NexusTrade

A historical strongest-ten implementation returned 58.01% versus SPY's 33.44% from January 2025, with a deeper 35.04% drawdown. Inspect the rules and trade evidence.

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NVDA intraday strategy vs buy and hold: a case study | NexusTrade

An NVDA intraday strategy led in a nine-month replay, then lagged buy and hold over five folds. Inspect its rules, walk-forward tests, costs and 212 audited fills.

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Options trading strategies: create, backtest and deploy a bot | NexusTrade

Compare six SPY options bot variants, a 52.68% modeled development result, 94 audited fills and a no-trade holdout caused by the fixed premium budget.

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Quantitativo turnaround Tuesdays: QQQ and TQQQ tests | NexusTrade

Actual QQQ and TQQQ turnaround tests, source-published Wednesday entries, a losing February trade and the recent return shortfall that stopped this pilot.

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Randy Harris: Global Rotation after fees | NexusTrade

A source-offered Global Rotation configuration returned 290.68% after modeled fees versus SPY's 265.90%, with 18.21% drawdown. See its losing periods and IEF/BIL comparison.

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Value portfolios: growth versus bear-market protection | NexusTrade

Fourteen stock ideas, two rounds of losing-trade repairs and four retrospective folds show the growth sacrificed for cash protection and stronger alternatives.

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Walk-forward optimization: a retrospective TQQQ research loop

Three rounds of TQQQ variants, losing-trade inspections and rule repairs, followed by five walk-forward blocks. Compare matched-fold and continuous holding, inspect weaker periods and see which development dates overlap the tests.

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